Backyard Weather Station

Real-time observations vs. Open-Meteo forecast vs. local ML models. · source

Current observation

—°C

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Humidity— %

Pressure— hPa

Wind— m/s

Wind dir—°

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Forecast comparison

Target

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Open-Meteo

Public regional forecast

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Linear regression

Local ML baseline

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Random Forest

Bagged trees

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XGBoost

Gradient-boosted trees

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Model accuracy on hold-out test set

Model	Test MAE	Test RMSE	Test n
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MAE/RMSE are computed on the most-recent 20% of paired (forecast, observation) hours, held out from training. The Open-Meteo row uses the raw forecast as the prediction.