Backyard Weather Station

Real-time observations vs. Open-Meteo forecast vs. local ML models.

Target Horizon

Current observation

—°C

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Humidity	— %
Pressure	— hPa
Wind	— m/s @ —°

Forecast for temp at …

Open-Meteo

Public regional forecast

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Linear regression

Local ML baseline

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XGBoost

Gradient-boosted trees

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Model accuracy on hold-out test set

Model	Test MAE	Test RMSE	Test n	Trained
Select a target/horizon to load metrics.

MAE/RMSE are computed on the most-recent 20% of paired (forecast, observation) hours, held out from training. The Open-Meteo row uses the raw forecast as the prediction.